Flop bet 30 into 100 is completely fine as a range bet. Small sizing works well multiway. When SB raises to 120, your call is very standard. You’re in position with a combo draw. Nothing fancy needed. Turn 4c Still have 9 clean diamond outs + 3 non-diamond 9s = 12 outs total (very strong). Calling 220 is totally standard. River 3h — brick. Now let’s re-evaluate the river raise knowing you had the nut straight blocker (Q). This is actually a much better bluff than it first looked. Why? 1. You block Q9 (the nuts). That slightly reduces combos he can have. 2. You arrive at river with tons of missed diamonds in your range. 3. His 100 sizing is very block-bet looking. 4. From his POV, you absolutely have Q9 in range. 5. You can also have some slowplayed sets. Your line is consistent with: • Float flop with draw • Call turn with draw • Raise river when straight completes This is a very credible story. The only real question becomes: does he fold two pair or sets?
Mar 03, 2026 10:02pm
Kannan
Against good thinking players → this is a very strong bluff. Against average live players → sets never fold, two pair sometimes fold, one pair always folds. The important thing: This is one of the best missed-draw candidates to turn into a bluff. You have no showdown value. You block the nuts. You unblock his folding region (non-straight hands). That’s good bluff construction. So strategically? I like it much more now. Only thing I might tweak is sizing depending on opponent. 600 is strong and polar — which is correct in theory. If he’s capable of folding strong hands, it’s excellent. Overall: good aggressive river play.
Mar 03, 2026 10:04pm
Kannan
D: Preflop - fold 100% Flop - betting small or checking are both good options. Calling the XR is good. Not sure how often you can 3bet, but I’d think it’s pretty low. Turn - good River - I’d rather have something like 98s to raise. I’d want more blockers than Qd5d.
Mar 04, 2026 08:14pm
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